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How the Teal Probability Football Model Changes Match Predictions
By @probapredicttealprobabilityway
I have spent years watching football and working with different prediction methods, from simple intuition to complex statistical models. Most of them fall short in the same way: they give you a yes or no without showing the uncertainty behind it. That is where the teal probability football model stands apart. It does not just tell you who might win. It shows the likelihood of each outcome, and that changes how you think about the game. When I first started using the ProbaPr
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